Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the Aegean & Eastern Mediterranean – Confrontation with Turkey
The Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) is one of the most critical geopolitical issues in the Eastern Mediterranean. Greece, with a vast maritime domain and strategic energy potential, faces Turkish revisionism and increasing geopolitical pressure in the region.
The EEZ conflict revolves around three core issues:
✔ The legal framework (UNCLOS – United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, 1982)
✔ Greece’s strategic energy prospects
✔ Turkish claims and continuous challenges to Greek sovereign rights
1. Greece’s Strategy for the EEZ
Greece bases its position on International Law and UNCLOS 1982, which grants coastal states the right to declare an EEZ extending up to 200 nautical miles.
✔ Key Principles of the Greek Position:
- Greek islands (e.g., Kastellorizo) have full EEZ rights, as does any inhabited island.
- Greece reserves the right to extend its territorial waters to 12 n.m., though Turkey threatens with war (“casus belli”).
- Greece has already delineated EEZs with Italy and Egypt, setting a precedent.
✔ Strategic Next Steps:
- Gradual extension of territorial waters to 12 n.m. (Ionian Sea, Crete, Southern & Eastern Aegean).
- Finalization of EEZ agreements with Cyprus and Libya.
- Mobilization of international support (EU, US, France) to bolster Greece’s stance.
2️. Turkey’s Strategy and the “Blue Homeland” Doctrine
Turkey does not recognize UNCLOS and argues that Greek islands are not entitled to a full EEZ.
✔ Core Turkish Positions:
- Denial of Kastellorizo’s EEZ, claiming Turkey’s coastline has more influence.
- Promotes the “Blue Homeland” doctrine, claiming vast maritime areas in the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean.
- Signs illegal agreements like the Turkey–Libya memorandum to create faits accomplis.
✔ Turkish Tactics:
- Violations and NAVTEX declarations in Greece’s continental shelf.
- Military threats and casus belli rhetoric.
- Deploying Turkish research vessels to impose presence and tension.
Greece must continually denounce Turkey’s illegal occupation of 40% of the Republic of Cyprus.
3️. The Eastern Mediterranean & the Energy Factor
Greece’s EEZ holds immense geopolitical value due to its hydrocarbon and natural gas reserves and its role as a critical energy transit route to Europe.
✔ Energy Alliances & European Support:
- EastMed Pipeline: Natural gas pipeline from Israel–Cyprus–Greece.
- France & the US: Strong support for Greek EEZ positions.
- Greece–Egypt alliance: Counterbalance to Turkish ambitions.
✔ Next Steps:
- Energy exploitation of deposits within Greek territorial waters.
- Expansion of strategic energy partnerships with Egypt, Israel, and Cyprus.
- Strengthening Greek naval presence in the Eastern Mediterranean.
4️. Military Readiness & Deterrence
✔ Greece must guarantee its sovereignty through:
- Naval modernization (Belharra frigates, FDI ships, Rafale jets).
- Increased military presence on islands and across the Eastern Mediterranean.
- Strategic deterrence to Turkish provocations (e.g., Greece–France defense agreement).
✔ AI & Defense Strategy:
- AI-powered military data analysis → rapid response to Turkish maneuvers.
- Drones and autonomous defense systems → strategic surveillance and rapid threat neutralization.
- Cyber defense & AI geopolitical analytics → enhanced strategic foresight and response planning.
✅ CONCLUSION & STRATEGIC PROPOSAL
Greece must act decisively on three fronts:
1. Diplomatic Fortification
- Strengthen alliances and legal arguments in favor of Greek EEZ rights.
2. Military Deterrence
- Expand naval forces and maintain a strong presence in the Eastern Mediterranean.
3. Economic Utilization
- Develop an assertive energy strategy and invest in exploiting Greece’s EEZ.
Without action, Turkey will continue to create faits accomplis. Greece must move strategically and with resolve.
New Defense Doctrine for Greece:
- Firm response to Turkish provocations
- Stated objective of dismantling and destroying the narrative of Turkey’s “Blue Homeland”
- Declaration of a Greek Casus Belli in the event of any challenge to Greek sovereignty
- Ultimate mission of the Hellenic Armed Forces: to push the neo-Ottoman threat deep back into the interior of Anatolia.